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Theoretical Expectations and Actual Outcomes of Electoral Systems : How to Measure the Size of the Deviation?
Autoři | |
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Rok publikování | 2018 |
Druh | Článek v odborném periodiku |
Časopis / Zdroj | World Political Science |
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU | |
Citace | |
www | článek |
Doi | http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/wps-2018-0008 |
Klíčová slova | electoral systems; measurement tool; Seat Product Model; size of deviation; theoretical expectations |
Přiložené soubory | |
Popis | The article criticises current conceptual frameworks focused on the evaluation of the performance of electoral systems. It offers a new tool allowing researchers to measure the size of the deviation of electoral outcomes from theoretical expectations. The index d=log[Ns/(MS)1/6] is built on the Seat Product (Taagepera, Rein (2007b) Predicting Party Sizes: The Logic of Simple Electoral Systems. New York: Oxford University Press) and captures the deviations of electoral outcomes from predictions solely on the basis of two institutional factors – average district magnitude (M) and size of assembly (S). The theoretical background of index d is explained, and its reliability is further supported by conventional econometric methods based on empirical data. |
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