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Role of Pacific Ocean climate in regulating runoff in the source areas of water transfer projects on the Pacific Rim

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FENG Chen WANG Shijie DONG Qianjin ESPER Jan BÜNTGEN Ulf MEKO David LINDERHOLM Hans W. WANG Tao YUE Weipeng ZHAO Xiaoen HADAD Martin GONZALEZ-REYES Alvaro CHEN Fahu

Rok publikování 2024
Druh Článek v odborném periodiku
Časopis / Zdroj npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU

Přírodovědecká fakulta

Citace
www https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-024-00706-1
Doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00706-1
Klíčová slova Hydrology; Palaeoclimate
Popis Over the past two decades, more frequent and intense climate events have seriously threatened the operation of water transfer projects in the Pacific Rim region. However, the role of climatic change in driving runoff variations in the water source areas of these projects is unclear. We used tree-ring data to reconstruct changes in the runoff of the Hanjiang River since 1580 CE representing an important water source area for China's south-north water transfer project. Comparisons with hydroclimatic reconstructions for the southwestern United States and central Chile indicated that the Pacific Rim region has experienced multiple coinciding droughts related to ENSO activity. Climate simulations indicate an increased likelihood of drought occurrence in the Pacific Rim region in the coming decades. The combination of warming-induced drought stresses with dynamic El Ni & ntilde;o (warming ENSO) patterns is a thread to urban agglomerations and agricultural regions that rely on water transfer projects along the Pacific Rim.

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