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Publication details
NATO and Ukraine after the Maidan Revolution
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Year of publication | 2016 |
Type | Chapter of a book |
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Description | NATO and Ukraine relations had oscillated, for more than two decades, between modes that can be defined as endeavor to acquire partnership and to obtain membership. Even though Ukraine is not very likely to achieve readiness for membership in several years’ time, even if it did so and the afore-depicted attitude of NATO towards Russia persisted, it is nearly out of the question that Ukraine would become a NATO member. Russia always has the possibility to exchange the return to cooperation with NATO for rejecting Ukrainian membership in the organization. Paradoxically, the only real chance for Ukraine’s accession to the Alliance is the continuation of a “new Cold War” between NATO and Putin’s Russia. Only under such external circumstances and simultaneously also Ukraine’s ability to meet the Alliance criteria for membership, a positive consensus could be reached in NATO over Ukraine’s invitation. Nevertheless, there is low probability for Ukraine’s early accession to the Alliance and its relations with NATO are very likely to develop according to the “partnership” mode with attributes such as “intensified”, “unique”, etc. |