Publication details
Open-sources v predikcii ozbrojených konfliktov a ich využitie v systémoch včasného varovania
| Title in English | Open-sources use in early warning and prediction of armed conflicts |
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| Authors | |
| Year of publication | 2020 |
| Type | Article in Proceedings |
| Conference | Národná a medzinárodná bezpečnosť 2020 : zbornik prispevkov z 11 medzinárodnej vedeckej konferencie |
| MU Faculty or unit | |
| Citation | |
| Web | sborník |
| Keywords | conflict prediction; early warning; open-source intelligence |
| Attached files | |
| Description | Research into prediction and prevention of armed conflict has come a long way in the past decades yet still remains understudied and underutilized by practitioners in defense fields. The accessibility and open-source nature of many new available systems offers relevant input into both short and long-term planning. The article offers a structured analysis of existing Early Warning System (EWS) generations to assess the viability and utility of modern prediction and EWSs – based on open source data and methods - to varied stakeholders across the domestic security apparatus and defense forces. Compared to previous generations and single-source EWSs, composite or combined EWSs offer up-todate open-source outputs applicable, among a vast variety of areas, in security and defense planning |
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