Publication details

TAKING A SNAPSHOT : Discovering Escalation Prone Countries Through Structural Conditions and QCA

Authors

FRIDRICHOVÁ Kateřina ILAVSKÁ Adriana

Year of publication 2020
Type Article in Periodical
Magazine / Source Obrana a strategie
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Social Studies

Citation
web článek - open access
Doi http://dx.doi.org/10.3849/1802-7199.20.2020.02.005-018
Keywords Prediction; Conflict Escalation; Structural Conditions; Early Warning; csQCA
Attached files
Description This paper introduces a method of conflict escalation prediction based on long-term structural conditions, drawn from open sources, and QCA (Qualitative Comparative analysis). The combination of the two components offers a model of prediction, which is comparable to other more sophisticated and resourced systems. Moreover, it offers a more sensitive estimation of an escalation.
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