Využití Národního onkologického registru pro modelování vlivu screeningových programů v cílové populaci: age-period-cohort modely

• Title in English: DATA OF CZECH NATIONAL CANCER REGISTRY IN MODELLING OF EFFECT OF SCREENING PROGRAMS IN TARGET POPULATION: AGE-PERIOD-COHORT MODELS
• Authors: GELNAROVÁ Eva; NEUVIRTOVÁ Lucie; SVOBODNÍK Adam; KOMOLÍKOVÁ Lucie; DANEŠ Jan; SKOVAJSOVÁ Miroslava; BARTOŇKOVÁ Helena; MUŽÍK Jan; KOPTÍKOVÁ Jana; DUŠEK Ladislav
• Year of publication: 2007
• Type: Article in Periodical
• Magazine / Source: Klinická onkologie
• MU Faculty or unit: Faculty of Medicine
• Field: Oncology and hematology
• Keywords: screening - mammography - age-period cohort models
• Description: The paper presents analysis of data of Czech National Cancer Registry from the viewpoint of modelling of incidence and mortality related to breast carcinoma. Special attention is paid to Age-Period-Cohort models (AP, AC, APC models). Both model estimates and predictions produced by these algorithms are of administrative and scientific importance. AP models were sufficiently applied to predict brest carcinoma mortality for the period 1997-2001. Comparative evaluation of model predictions with real data indicated significant impact of many factors that can interact with age-.specific incidence and mortality in this disease. Paper is pilot methodical contribution to the evaluation of Czech national brest cancer screening program.