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Stochastické modely hodnocení efektivity screeningových programů se zaměřením na diagnózu karcinomu prsu
Title in English | STOCHASTIC MODELS IN EVALUATION OF EFFECTIVENESS OF POPULATION SCREENING PROGRAMS WITH FOCUS ON BREAST CARCINOMA |
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Authors | |
Year of publication | 2007 |
Type | Article in Periodical |
Magazine / Source | Klinická onkologie |
MU Faculty or unit | |
Citation | |
Field | Oncology and hematology |
Keywords | breast carcinoma; mammography screening; effectiveness; stochastic models |
Description | The role of stochastic modelling in the evaluation of inputs and outputs of population based screening programme Sis discussed. Breast carcinoma was used as model diagnosis to document valuable contribution of stochastic models that is apparent even in comparison with randomized clinical trials. In evaluation of some specific time to event parameters like so called Lead time, the randomized trials cannot be conducted at all and stochastic predictions remain the only accessible methodology. Paper evaluates advantages, disadvantages and assumptions of Markovian chains as well as analytical and simulation models (one stage one test breast cancer model, MISCAN model, MICROLIFE model, CISNET: The Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Network). The work is a pilot theoretical contribution to exact evaluation of Czech national breast cancer screening program. |