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Recent centennial drought on the Tibetan Plateau is outstanding within the past 3500 years

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LIU Yu SONG Huiming AN Zhisheng LI Qiang LEAVITT Steven W BÜNTGEN Ulf CAI Qiufang LIU Ruoshi FANG Congxi SUN Changfeng TREYDTE Kerstin REN Meng MO Lidong SONG Yi CAI Wenju ZHANG Quan ZHOU Weijian BRAEUNING Achim GRIESSINGER Jussi CHEN Deliang LINDERHOLM Hans W SINHA Ashish CHENG Hai WANG Lu LEI Ying SUN Junyan GONG Wei LI Xuxiang CUI Linlin NING Liang WAN Lingfeng CROWTHER Thomas W ZOHNER Constantin M

Rok publikování 2025
Druh Článek v odborném periodiku
Časopis / Zdroj Nature Communications
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU

Přírodovědecká fakulta

Citace
www https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56687-z
Doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56687-z
Klíčová slova Climate-change impacts; Hydrology
Popis Given growing concerns about global climate change, it is critical to understand both historical and current shifts in the hydroclimate, particularly in regions critically entwined with global circulation. The Tibetan Plateau, the Earth's largest and highest plateau, is a nexus for global atmospheric processes, significantly influencing East Asian hydroclimate dynamics through the synergy of the Asian Monsoon and the Westerlies. Yet, understanding historical and recent hydroclimate fluctuations and their wide-ranging ecological and societal consequences remains challenging due to short instrumental observations and partly ambiguous proxy reconstructions. Here, we present a precisely-dated 3476-year precipitation reconstruction derived from tree-ring delta 18O data on the Tibetan Plateau, representing one of the few multi-millennia-long annually-resolved terrestrial delta 18O records to date. Our findings reveal that the 20th century drought extremes are severe within the past three millennia, and likely linked to the weakening of both the Asian Monsoon and Westerlies due to anthropogenic aerosol emissions. Additionally, our analyses identified three distinct stages (110 BC-AD 280, AD 330-770 and AD 950-1300) characterized by shifts toward arid hydroclimate conditions, corresponding to significant social unrest and dynasty collapses, which underscores the potential societal impacts of severe hydroclimatic shifts.

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