Informace o publikaci
European temperature records of the past five centuries based on documentary/instrumental information compared to climate simulations
| Autoři | |
|---|---|
| Rok publikování | 2010 |
| Druh | Článek v odborném periodiku |
| Časopis / Zdroj | Climatic Change |
| Fakulta / Pracoviště MU | |
| Citace | |
| Doi | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9824-7 |
| Obor | Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie |
| Klíčová slova | Air Temperature; Reconstruction; Climate Model Simulations; Stockholm; Central Europe |
| Popis | Two European temperature reconstructions for the past half-millennium, January-to-April air temperature for Stockholm (Sweden) and seasonal temperature for a Central European region, both derived from the analysis of documentary sources and long instrumental records, are compared with the output of climate simulations with the model ECHO-G. The analysis is complemented by comparisons with the long (early)-instrumental record of Central England Temperature (CET). Both approaches to study past climates (simulations and reconstructions)are burdened with uncertainties. The main objective of this comparative analysis is to identify robust features and weaknesses in each method which may help to improve models and reconstruction methods. The results indicate a general agreement between simulations obtained with temporally changing external forcings and the reconstructed Stockholm and CET records for the multi-centennial temperature trend over the recent centuries, which is not reproduced in a control simulation. This trend is likely due to the long-term change in external forcing. Additionally, the Stockholm reconstruction and the CET record also show a clear multi-decadal warm episode peaking around AD 1730, which is absent in the simulations. |