Publication details

Long-term decrease in Asian monsoon rainfall and abrupt climate change events over the past 6,700 years

Authors

YANG Bao QIN Chun BRÄUNING Achim OSBORN Timothy J. TROUET Valerie LJUNGQVIST Fredrik Charpentier ESPER Jan SCHNEIDER Lea GRIEßINGER Jussi BÜNTGEN Ulf ROSSI Sergio DONG Guanghui YAN Mi NING Liang WANG Jianglin WANG Xiaofeng WANG Suming LUTERBACHER Juerg COOK Edward R STENSETH Nils Chr

Year of publication 2021
Type Article in Periodical
Magazine / Source Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Science

Citation
Web https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2102007118
Doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2102007118
Keywords tree rings; stable isotopes; variability; megadrought; Asian summer monsoon
Description Asian summer monsoon (ASM) variability and its long-term ecological and societal impacts extending back to Neolithic times are poorly understood due to a lack of high-resolution climate proxy data. Here, we present a precisely dated and well-calibrated treering stable isotope chronology from the Tibetan Plateau with 1- to 5-y resolution that reflects high- to low-frequency ASM variability from 4680 BCE to 2011 CE. Superimposed on a persistent drying trend since the mid-Holocene, a rapid decrease in moisture availability between similar to 2000 and similar to 1500 BCE caused a dry hydroclimatic regime from similar to 1675 to similar to 1185 BCE, with mean precipitation estimated at 42 +/- 4% and 5 +/- 2% lower than during themid-Holocene and the instrumental period, respectively. This second-millennium-BCE megadrought marks the mid-to late Holocene transition, during which regional forests declined and enhanced aeolian activity affected northern Chinese ecosystems. We argue that this abrupt aridification starting similar to 2000 BCE contributed to the shift of Neolithic cultures in northern China and likely triggered human migration and societal transformation.

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