Publication details

Machine Learning Survival Models for Relapse Prediction in a Early Stage Lung Cancer Patient

Authors

TIMILSINA Mohan BUOSI Samuele JANIK Adrianna MINERVINI Pasquale COSTABELLO Luca TORRENTE Maria PROVENCIO Mariano CALVO Virginia CAMPS Carlos ORTEGA Ana L MASSUTI Bartomeu CAMPELO Rosario Garcia M. EDEL del Barco BOSCH-BARRERA Joaquim NOVÁČEK Vít

Year of publication 2023
Type Article in Proceedings
Conference 2023 INTERNATIONAL JOINT CONFERENCE ON NEURAL NETWORKS, IJCNN
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Informatics

Citation
Doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/IJCNN54540.2023.10191078
Keywords survival; time; event; prediction; cancer; explanation
Description Lung cancer is one of the leading health complications causing high mortality worldwide. The relapsing behavior of medically treated early-stage lung cancer makes this disease even more complicated. Thus predicting such relapse using a data-centric approach provides a complementary perspective for clinicians to understand the disease. In this preliminary work, we explored off-the-shelf survival models to predict the relapse of early-stage lung cancer patients. We analyzed the survival models on a cohort of 1348 early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients in different timestamps. Using the prediction explanation model SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations), we further explained the best-performing survival model's predictions. Our explainable predictive model is a potential tool for oncologists that address an unmet clinical need for post-treatment patient stratification based on the relapse hazard.

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