Publication details

Prognostické metody bezpečnostních fenoménů

Title in English Prognostic methods of security phenomenons
Authors

SMOLÍK Josef

Year of publication 2012
Type Article in Proceedings
Conference Bezpečnostné fórum 2012. Zborník príspevkov z V. medzinárodnej vedeckej konferencie.
MU Faculty or unit

Faculty of Social Studies

Citation
Field Political sciences
Keywords Prognostics; delphi method; scenarios
Description This article describes the basic terms used in prognostics (future studies, forecasting the future, prognosis, prediction, expert) and introduces selected prognostic methods and techniques which could be applied in security area (brainstorming, focus group, trend extrapolation, Delphi method, scenarios etc.). The basic classifications and prognosis typologies are mentioned as well. Particular phases of prognosis making are described too.
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