Informace o publikaci

Recent human-induced atmospheric drying across Europe unprecedented in the last 400 years

Autoři	TREYDTE Kerstin LIU Laibao PADRON Ryan S. MARTINEZ-SANCHO Elisabet BABST Flurin FRANK David C. GESSLER Arthur KAHMEN Ansgar POULTER Benjamin SENEVIRATNE Sonia I. STEGEHUIS Annemiek I. WILSON Rob ANDREU-HAYLES Laia BALE Roderick BEDNARZ Zdzislaw BOETTGER Tatjana BERNINGER Frank BÜNTGEN Ulf DAUX Valerie DORADO-LINAN Isabel ESPER Jan FRIEDRICH Michael GAGEN Mary GRABNER Michael GRUDD Hakan GUNNARSSON Bjoern E GUTIERREZ Emilia HAFNER Polona HAUPT Marika HILASVUORI Emmi HEINRICH Ingo HELLE Gerhard JALKANEN Risto JUNGNER Hoegne KALELA-BRUNDIN Maarit KESSLER Andreas KIRCHHEFER Andreas KLESSE Stephan KRAPIEC Marek LEVANIC Tom LEUENBERGER Markus LINDERHOLM Hans W MCCARROLL Danny MASSON-DELMOTTE Valerie PAWELCZYK Slawomira PAZDUR Anna PLANELLS Octavi PUKIENE Rutile RINNE-GARMSTON Katja T ROBERTSON Iain SARACINO Antonio SAURER Matthias SCHLESER Gerhard H SEFTIGEN Kristina SIEGWOLF Rolf T W SONNINEN Eloni STIEVENARD Michel SZYCHOWSKA-KRAPIEC Elzbieta SZYMASZEK Malgorzata TODARO Luigi WATERHOUSE John S WEIGL-KUSKA Martin WEIGT Rosemarie B WIMMER Rupert WOODLEY Ewan J VITAS Adomas YOUNG Giles LOADER Neil J
Rok publikování	2024
Druh	Článek v odborném periodiku
Časopis / Zdroj	Nature Geoscience
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU	Přírodovědecká fakulta
Citace
www	https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-023-01335-8
Doi	http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01335-8
Klíčová slova	Attribution; Climate and Earth system modelling; Forest ecology; Palaeoclimate; Stable isotope analysis
Popis	The vapor pressure deficit reflects the difference between how much moisture the atmosphere could and actually does hold, a factor that fundamentally affects evapotranspiration, ecosystem functioning, and vegetation carbon uptake. Its spatial variability and long-term trends under natural versus human-influenced climate are poorly known despite being essential for predicting future effects on natural ecosystems and human societies such as crop yield, wildfires, and health. Here we combine regionally distinct reconstructions of pre-industrial summer vapor pressure deficit variability from Europe's largest oxygen-isotope network of tree-ring cellulose with observational records and Earth system model simulations with and without human forcing included. We demonstrate that an intensification of atmospheric drying during the recent decades across different European target regions is unprecedented in a pre-industrial context and that it is attributed to human influence with more than 98% probability. The magnitude of this trend is largest in Western and Central Europe, the Alps and Pyrenees region, and the smallest in southern Fennoscandia. In view of the extreme drought and compound events of the recent years, further atmospheric drying poses an enhanced risk to vegetation, specifically in the densely populated areas of the European temperate lowlands.